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PRJ-2026-003At risk4ExecutionWaterfallIn progress

Disaster Recovery Centre for the Chamber’s Systems

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A Tier III standby site at a licensed provider in Al-Kharj that keeps the My Business portal, e-attestation and the chamber’s systems running after a major outage.

Early warning: ⁦63%⁩ chance of slipping within ⁦45⁩ days

Budget (BAC)

SAR 7.4M

Actual cost

SAR 5.9M

⁦79%⁩ of budget

Progress

⁦72%⁩Awaiting acceptance ⁦8%⁩

Estimate at completion

SAR 8.1M

SAR +732K

SPI · CPI

0.90Schedule performance index · 0.900.91Cost performance index · 0.91

Forecast finish

⁦2027-01-07⁩

38 days behind baseline

ExecutionStage ⁦4⁩ of ⁦5⁩

Next gate:Closure13 October 2026

  1. Pre-start · CompletePre-start · Complete
  2. Gate into «Initiation»DecisionGoDate5 February 2025Initiation · CompleteInitiation · Complete
  3. Gate into «Planning»DecisionConditional goDate6 April 2025Planning · CompletePlanning · Complete
  4. Gate into «Execution»DecisionConditional goDate11 July 2025Execution · Current stageExecution · Current stage
  5. Gate into «Closure»DecisionNot held yetDate13 October 2026Closure · Not startedClosure · Not started

Finance & earned value

The full budget structure, cost broken down by eight dimensions, cash flow with its S-curve, and earned-value indicators with an automatic end-of-project forecast.

Budget anatomy

The approved SAR 7.4M split into spent, committed and left, with the estimate at completion

Forecast overrun SAR 732K
EAC SAR 8.1M
Revised request SAR 7.4M
  • Actual spendSAR 5.9M
  • Committed, not spentSAR 1.1M
  • Allotted, uncommittedSAR 203K
  • Contingency availableSAR 222K

Budget

EstimatedManualFrom the project proposal — not from the finance systemthe proposal’s cost before approval
SAR 6.9M
Original budgetwhen the first baseline was approved
SAR 7.2M
Approved budgetafter approved change requests
SAR 7.4M
Current budgetavailable to spend now
SAR 7.4M
Revised budgetif the pending changes are approved
SAR 7.4M

Commitments

CommitmentsSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system syncsigned contracts and purchase orders
SAR 7M
Contracts2 active contracts
SAR 6.7M
Purchase orders⁦3⁩ orders
SAR 320K
Remaining budgetapproved less actual
SAR 1.5M

Spend & outlook

Actual costSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system syncincluding accruals
SAR 5.9M
Accrualswork done, not yet invoiced
SAR 234K
Estimate at completionManualThe project manager’s estimate — not from the finance systemthe PM’s bottom-up forecast
SAR 8.1M
ContingencySAR 148K drawn of SAR 370K
SAR 222K

Estimated vs approved budget

What the project proposal estimated before approval, against today’s approved budget and the estimate at completion

EstimatedSAR 6.9M
ApprovedSAR 7.4M
Estimate at completionSAR 8.1M
Approved is SAR 515K (⁦7.5%⁩) above the estimate
The estimate at completion is SAR 1.2M (⁦18.1%⁩) above the estimate

From the «project proposal & feasibility study» approved at the approval gate on ⁦2025-01-21⁩ · The gap between estimated and approved comes from the scope update and the change requests approved after the approval gate.

ERP link — data readiness

The link keys are ready for the finance-system sync; Munjaz follows the project and does not replace the accounting system

⁦4⁩ of ⁦4⁩ fields ready
  • Cost centreCC-61003
  • WBS elements⁦5⁩ elements · P-2026-003.01 …
  • Purchase orders⁦3⁩ synced · ⁦0⁩ manual
  • Invoices & certificates⁦23⁩ posted · ⁦1⁩ in approval
Last sync⁦2026-10-28⁩ · 06:00 · succeededNext tonight at 02:00

Where each figure comes from

  • EstimatedManualFrom the project proposal — not from the finance system
  • CommitmentsSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system sync
  • Actual costSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system sync
  • Estimate at completionManualThe project manager’s estimate — not from the finance system

Once the link is live, synced figures are read from the finance system; manual updates stay available to the same roles and are logged.

Purchase-order register

Manual edit log

Every manual update — who, when, why and from which source

No manual edits on this project

All its figures come from the finance-system sync. Finance & procurement — and the project manager, for the estimate at completion — can update them by hand.

Budget bridge

From the original to the revised request

  • Total
  • Increase
  • Decrease

Contingency draw-downs

SAR 148K drawn of SAR 370K

  • Covering realised delivery risks⁦2026-08-29⁩SAR 148K

Purchase orders

Cost breakdown structure

Every dimension adds up to the same totals

Cost breakdown structure — WBS
ItemBudgetSAR MCommittedSAR MActualSAR MEACSAR MVarianceSAR MConsumption
1Management & governance0.570.650.650.65⁦−0.08⁩
2Analysis & design1.221.381.381.38⁦−0.16⁩
3Build2.873.253.253.25⁦−0.38⁩
4Testing & acceptance1.441.070.571.54⁦−0.10⁩
5Launch & handover1.080.620.001.20⁦−0.12⁩
Unallocated contingency0.220.000.000.11⁦+0.11⁩
Total7.406.985.868.13⁦−0.73⁩

Budget split

WBS

SAR 7.4M

Budget

  • Management & governanceSAR 574.2K⁦8%⁩
  • Analysis & designSAR 1.2M⁦16%⁩
  • BuildSAR 2.9M⁦39%⁩
  • Testing & acceptanceSAR 1.4M⁦19%⁩
  • Launch & handoverSAR 1.1M⁦15%⁩
  • Unallocated contingencySAR 222K⁦3%⁩

Cash flow

Planned, committed, actual and forecast

Spend per period

SAR millions

  • Planned
  • Actual
  • Forecast

Cumulative S-curve

Cumulative to close

  • Actual, then forecast
  • Planned, cumulative
  • Committed, cumulative
  • Forecast

Earned value management

At the data date ⁦2026-10-28⁩

Planned value, earned value and actual cost

  • Planned value
  • Earned value
  • Actual cost
  • Estimate at completion
  • Budget at completion

Finish by earned schedule

⁦2027-09-03⁩+277

SPI(t) ⁦0.69⁩ against the approved finish ⁦2026-11-30⁩

Planned valuePV
SAR 7.3M
The value of the work that should be done by today.
PV
Earned valueEV
SAR 5.3M
The value of the work actually done, at plan prices.
EV = % complete × BAC
Actual costAC
SAR 5.9M
What has actually been spent on the work done.
AC
Budget at completionBAC
SAR 7.4M
The approved budget for the whole project.
BAC
Cost varianceCV
⁦−0.53⁩ SAR M
Earned less actual; negative means paying more than the value.
CV = EV − AC
Schedule varianceSV
⁦−2.02⁩ SAR M
Earned less planned; negative means behind, in value.
SV = EV − PV
Cost performance indexCPI
0.91
Value produced per riyal spent; under 1 is an overrun.
CPI = EV ÷ AC
Schedule performance indexSPI
0.73
Work done over work planned; under 1 is behind.
SPI = EV ÷ PV
Estimate at completionEAC
SAR 8.1M
What the project will cost when it finishes, as forecast.
EAC = BAC ÷ CPI
Estimate to completeETC
SAR 2.3M
What is still to be spent to completion.
ETC = EAC − AC
Variance at completionVAC
⁦−0.73⁩ SAR M
Budget less the estimate; negative is an overrun.
VAC = BAC − EAC
To-complete performance indexTCPI
1.34
The cost efficiency the rest must reach to stay on budget.
TCPI = (BAC − EV) ÷ (BAC − AC)

Automatic end-of-project forecast

Four ways to estimate the final cost, and the date earned schedule points to

  • At today’s cost performanceSAR 8.1M
  • If the rest goes to planSAR 7.9M
  • At cost and schedule performanceSAR 9M
  • The PM’s bottom-up estimateSAR 8.1M
  • To stay within SAR 7.4M, cost performance on the rest must rise to ⁦1.34⁩ — above what has been achieved.

Estimate at completion at that performance

SAR 8.1M

Variance at completion: ⁦−0.73⁩ SAR M

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